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Macroeconomic Patterns and Stories

This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US e...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Leamer, Edward E. (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: SpringerLink (Online service)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Berlin, Heidelberg : Springer Berlin Heidelberg : Imprint: Springer, 2009.
Edición:1st ed. 2009.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto Completo

MARC

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300 |a XVI, 360 p.  |b online resource. 
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505 0 |a Introduction: We Are Pattern-Seeking, Story-Telling Animals -- Four Key Variables: Growth, Unemployment, Inflation and Interest Rates -- Gross Domestic Product -- The Components of GDP: C+I+G+X?M -- Employment -- Inflation and Interest Rates -- Extrapolative Forecasting -- A Recession Symptoms -- Unwanted Idleness: Recessions and Recoveries -- Recession Comparison Charts -- Who Struggles and Who Does Well in Recessions? -- B Recession Stories -- Idleness Stories -- Cycle Stories -- C Recession Early Warning Signs -- Clues: Temporal Ordering of Components of GDP -- More Clues: Episodic Forecasting with Components of Conference Board's Index of Leading Indicators -- D Recession Causes -- The Art of Drawing Causal Inferences from Nonexperimental Data -- In Search of Recession Causes -- Expansions: With and Without Spurts -- The Life Cycle of US Expansions: Sputters and Spurts -- The Longer Run: Savings, Investment, Government Borrowing, Foreign Lending and Your Home -- Savings and Investment -- Government -- The External Deficit and the Value of the Dollar Hu's in Charge? -- The Ups and Downs of Real Estate Values: Can You Rely on Your Home To Pay For Your Retirement?. 
520 |a This book offers the wisdom and insight regarding the US economy from a well-known and distinguished econometrician who found himself first teaching macro economics to MBAs and then Directing the highly-regarded and widely-quoted UCLA/Anderson Forecast which provides quarterly forecasts for the US economy. Edward Leamer argues that "We are pattern-seeking story-telling animals." He provides in this book the patterns and stories that are the basis for his understanding of what determines the business cycle and what determines long-run economic growth. 
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650 0 |a Econometrics. 
650 0 |a Statistics . 
650 0 |a Economic development. 
650 1 4 |a Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics. 
650 2 4 |a Econometrics. 
650 2 4 |a Statistics in Business, Management, Economics, Finance, Insurance. 
650 2 4 |a Economic Growth. 
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