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Robustness in Statistical Forecasting

Traditional procedures in the statistical forecasting of time series, which are proved to be optimal under the hypothetical model, are often not robust under relatively small distortions (misspecification, outliers, missing values, etc.), leading to actual forecast risks (mean square errors of predi...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Clasificación:Libro Electrónico
Autor principal: Kharin, Yuriy (Autor)
Autor Corporativo: SpringerLink (Online service)
Formato: Electrónico eBook
Idioma:Inglés
Publicado: Cham : Springer International Publishing : Imprint: Springer, 2013.
Edición:1st ed. 2013.
Temas:
Acceso en línea:Texto Completo
Tabla de Contenidos:
  • Preface
  • Symbols and Abbreviations
  • Introduction
  • A Decision-Theoretic Approach to Forecasting
  • Time Series Models of Statistical Forecasting
  • Performance and Robustness Characteristics in Statistical Forecasting
  • Forecasting under Regression Models of Time Series
  • Robustness of Time Series Forecasting Based on Regression Models
  • Optimality and Robustness of ARIMA Forecasting
  • Optimality and Robustness of Vector Autoregression Forecasting under Missing Values
  • Robustness of Multivariate Time Series Forecasting Based on Systems of Simultaneous Equations
  • Forecasting of Discrete Time Series
  • Index.